BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
North Carolina
Class: 1A Class Rank: 76 Overall: (2-1) Overall Strength = 150.48
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (0-1) | District: 1A-01 Record: (1-1)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08-29-2026 Neutral W * 158.74 15 10 1A 78 (2-1) TCU 10.53 -8.56 -5.53
2 09-12-2026 Home W 143.68 35 3 1B 85 (2-2) East Tennessee St -4.53 * 23.55 36.53
3 09-19-2026 Away L * * 142.22 20 28 1A 71 (2-1) Clemson -5.99 8.51 -2.01
4 10/03/2026 Home * 1A 2 (3-0) Notre Dame -32.24
5 10/10/2026 Away * * 1A 13 (3-0) Pittsburgh -23.08
6 10/17/2026 Away * * 1A 29 (3-0) Duke -17.19
7 10/24/2026 Home * * 1A 67 (1-2) Syracuse 1.23
8 10/31/2026 Home * * 1A 7 (3-0) Miami FL -21.29
9 11/07/2026 Away * 1A 70 (2-1) Connecticut -4.22
10 11/14/2026 Home * * 1A 20 (2-1) Louisville -14.48
11 11/21/2026 Away * * 1A 10 (2-1) Virginia -25.92
12 11/28/2026 Home * * 1A 58 (1-2) North Carolina St -3.46
Averages 148.21 23.3 13.7
Best game: 158.74 = 5 point win over TCU
Worst game: 142.22 = 8 point loss to Clemson
Team stdev: 9.14