BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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North Carolina
Class: 1A Class Rank: 36 Overall: (4-2) Overall Strength = 163.25
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (2-1) | District: 1A-01 Record: (3-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08-29-2026 Neutral W * 168.01 15 10 1A 35 (3-3) TCU 5.45 -8.56 -0.45
2 09-12-2026 Home W 159.06 35 3 1B 16 (5-2) East Tennessee St -3.49 * 23.55 35.49
3 09-19-2026 Away L * * 150.43 20 28 1A 50 (4-2) Clemson -12.12 8.51 4.12
4 10-03-2026 Home L * 168.62 26 37 1A 1 (6-1) Notre Dame 6.07 -26.35 -17.07
5 10-10-2026 Away W * * 165.67 21 17 1A 42 (5-2) Pittsburgh 3.12 -3.66 0.88
6 10-17-2026 Away W * * 163.51 24 20 1A 46 (4-2) Duke 0.96 5.29 3.04
7 10/24/2026 Home * * 1A 74 (2-4) Syracuse 17.02
8 10/31/2026 Home * * 1A 6 (6-0) Miami FL -13.22
9 11/07/2026 Away * 1A 88 (3-3) Connecticut 15.95
10 11/14/2026 Home * * 1A 29 (4-3) Louisville 0.67
11 11/21/2026 Away * * 1A 58 (4-3) Virginia 7.51
12 11/28/2026 Home * * 1A 85 (3-3) North Carolina St 19.24
Averages 162.55 23.5 19.2
Best game: 168.62 = 11 point loss to Notre Dame
Worst game: 150.43 = 8 point loss to Clemson
Team stdev: 6.87